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While France, Italy and Germany are found in mini-summit in Strasbourg, Portugal is once again in the viewfinder of the rating agencies. Fitch downgraded one notch Thursday note of Portugal, from BBB-to BB +, together with a negative outlook. This decision made the downgrades of Portuguese debt the Safe investments to that of "rotten" or "risky".

"The deep deficit, high debt of all sectors of the economy and poor prospects for growth mean that the country will benefit more than qualified to hold a note type of investment, '" Fitch said in a statement . Portugal should address, according to projections by the agency, in a deep recession in 2012 with a decline in activity of 3%.

Among the areas of concern, the rating agency notes the debt of public enterprises."They have been the cause of upward revisions of the State debt and deficit figures, said Fitch. In this context, we expect a significant risk that new measures were announced in 2012. "Portuguese banks in turn will require a recapitalization, according to Fitch. They are strongly weakened by the debt crisis in Europe and amenable to private sector (firms and households), the most indebted in Europe, said the agency.

A 2012 budget "balanced"

Fortunately, according to Fitch, the Portuguese government is doing well. "The deficit target of 5.9% will be achieved this year, albeit with exceptional measures" and not reproducible in 2012, the agency notes. The 2012 budget, which targets a deficit of 4.5%, is "well designed," she continues. It contains substantial cuts in spending, including retirement pensions and salaries of civil servants.

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Few newspapers have a history as brilliant and desperate that France-Soir. A heroic birth, with the brilliant Pierre Lazareff transforms, at the end of the war, a newspaper born in the underground resistance, Defence of France, in large tabloid. Shattering debut, with prints that quickly reach over a million copies. Illuminated by a succession of prestigious feathers. A slow but inexorable fall, punctuated by numerous changes in ownership.

France-Soir has become the first French daily Liberation from. Acquired by Hachette in 1949, the newspaper saw its heyday in the 1950s and 1960s. He crossed the bar of a million copies in 1953-1954, while France mired in the wars of decolonization in Indochina first, then to Algeria.The French go to the front and France-Soir draws more than 1.5 million copies. A banner on the front proclaims: "The only daily selling over a million copies."

By dint of scoops of hard-hitting headlines and large photographs, France-Soir is a reference. "Pick the world in a day and throw it to the men every morning," the newspaper endorsed this definition of journalism by Joseph Kessel, who covered the trial of Petain and Nuremberg. The anthology pieces by Lucien Bodard, Françoise Giroud, Jean Philippe Labro Ferniot or alongside the venomous "Gossip gossip of" Carmen Tessier, the soap with rose Angélique, marquise of angels and the "facts div" sordid as the Dominici affair. The cocktail is perfect.

At the height of his fame, France-Soir is working out up to 400 journalists and eight editions per day.Sales over two million copies in November 1963, after the death of John F cheap pay day loans. Kennedy and after the November 1970 General de Gaulle.

The tide is turning in the 1970s. When Lazareff died in 1972, the daily press is beginning to be shaken up by radio and television. The editorial line is less clear. Like its competitors, France-Soir tabloid to balance between the Anglo-American general and the newspaper. Frequent changes of shareholders from that time do not help matters. The "avid reader" Robert Hersant, which then has to Le Figaro, took control of France-Soir in 1976. First bleed to the editor that loses 80 of 200 journalists … But in 1983, the distribution still falls to 400,000 copies.

Following is a series of stimulus packages and restructuring.Between 1982 and 2004, eleven editors will succeed at the bedside. In 1998, Yves de Chaisemartin, who told Robert Hersant the keys to Socpresse, the paper goes tabloid significantly lowering the selling price. But the title is seriously deficient. It changed hands in 1999, 2000 and 2002. Philippe Bouvard, who has officiated in the newspaper between 1973 and 1989, then back at the helm. France-Soir +, refocused on television and sport, does not return to its glorious past.

Bloodless, without cap, France-Soir is placed in receivership in late 2005. The following year, the newspaper was bought by the developer Jean-Pierre Brunois. Journalists on strike brandishing leaflets "Bal tragic in court: 80 dead." Inspiration always comes from English tabloids. But the newspaper has lost the recipe for success.The two stimulus packages Alexander Pugachev, who acquired the newspaper in 2009, failed to reverse the trend.

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Moody's warned that it was British banks in the crosshairs. So she lowered the notes yesterday of seven small establishments that specialize in mortgages but also five major banks such as Lloyds Banking Group, which comes down a notch to "Aa3" to "A1", and Royal Bank of Scotland , which loses two notches to "A2". She also announced plans to lower the rating for long-term debt of Belgium, currently the second best possible "Aa1." The rating agency said in a statement it would review the country's vulnerability to the crisis of debt in the eurozone, growth prospects and uncertainty surrounding the possible support to the banking system, particularly the establishment Franco-Belgian Dexia.

Moody's, which has deteriorated in the wake of 9 banks in Portugal, is the difference between Portuguese and British situations.If Portugal is the financial institutions that is pointed, this is not the case in the United Kingdom. The decrease is only due to the fact that the government committed to a policy of strict fiscal discipline, is less inclined to support the bankruptcy of its banks, especially smaller ones, "It is more likely that the government is now its most smaller institutions to fail no fax cash loans. The damage does not reflect a deterioration of finances of the banking system or the government. "

Controversy over RBS

So it's the same reason that is invoked only for a few weeks ago degradation of U.S. Citigroup, Bank of America and Wells Fargo on the grounds that the state might be reluctant to help them. Political discourse is to throw doubt on the determination of the support if any one bank.The British finance minister, George Osborne, told the BBC: "People ask me how to prevent the British deposit banks to be in the future? The government is to prepare. As a result, the rating agencies believe that banks will have to prove that they themselves can pay their bills. "

Indeed, the government wants to avoid having to replicate the scheme in 2008. The State had then had to inject billions into troubled institutions, including 22 billion for RBS.

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In recent years, Dexia has moved from an institution offering a regular dividend to a penny stock that ruined its shareholders. The action is worth more than 1.06 euro on Tuesday, down 94% in five years. Until 2010, Dexia was part of the CAC 40 after entering in 1999. We now know the epilogue of a story that could be summed up in three parts: the time of ambitions, a last-minute rescue and collapse.

In 1996, the marriage of Credit Local de France and Credit Communal de Belgique is celebrated with great pomp. It gives birth to a bank player in the financing of local authorities in both France and Belgium. Rather than focus on this specialty, the leaders will demonstrate a burning ambition in the years that follow. The acquisitions will increase. Nothing is too good for executives who leave the checkbook repeatedly.No matter if capital does not follow. Access to liquidity seems unlimited and redemptions can be easily financed. Dexia is the time highly rated by rating agencies.

In 1997, Dexia is a 40% stake in the Italian specialist of financing local authorities. Units held will be brought to 60% in 1998. Especially in 2000, Dexia made two acquisitions that will prove disastrous. The property bought FSA in the United States for 2.7 billion euros. This company called credit enhancer has become over the years one of the insurance behemoth of financial securities. Moreover, again in 2000, Dexia bought Bank Labouchere. A few years later, a scandal will cost several hundred billion euros to Dexia. It turns out that customers of Labouchere bought shares on credit, the establishment of incentive. The crash of 2001-2002 and ruined.

Payment of a dividend is known to be regular and copious

At the time, financial analysts and portfolio managers criticize little Dexia. The bank made steady progress in earnings per share. It pays a dividend is known to be regular and plentiful. Many individual shareholders, entered the capital of Crédit Local in 1991 and have remained loyal to Dexia. No one really makes the fact that the risk profile of the bank has been completely changed.

In 2004-2005, Dexia is the subject of many rumors of marriage. Pierre Richard, the head of the bank, Dexia is that merged with the Italian Sanpaolo. He turned down its directors and officers in Italy. In September 2005, leaders refuse to merge with Dexia Fortis. Rumors of an alliance with Societe Generale also circulating, but nothing concrete emerges from the noise corridor.At the end of 2005, the action is close to 20 euros.

In 2006, is welcomed. It enables Dexia to enter the promising market of the local retail banking. In late April 2007, Dexia's most button above historical 24.51 euros.

Its subsidiary FSA is vulnerable

When the subprime crisis broke, the bank is discreet. She knows that its subsidiary FSA is vulnerable. The leaders tried to reassure but the 2008 financial crisis and the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers will put the institution to its knees. In autumn 2008, the CDC, the State and the Belgian regions implement a capital increase of EUR 6.4 billion. In addition, the Belgian, French and Luxembourg governments were forced to implement security to enable the bank to borrow again.

Despite reduction measures and restructuring the balance sheet, and his teams have not managed to recover the bank.The task was daunting given a totally unbalanced balance sheet. The latest figures, Dexia had 6.9 billion euros of capital to 517 billion euros of assets. Shareholders are ruined and no one said that the action could still have value in the coming months. As for local governments, many of them are dissatisfied because the Dexia led to raise loans in Swiss francs to take advantage of the difference in interest rates. Only the value of the Swiss franc has soared, and the weight of loans proved unbearable for many communities.

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Twenty-four years after the first world held in New Zealand, rugby world last week signed a homecoming, celebrating the opening ceremony of the 7th edition of the World Cup. Certainly, in the meantime, the world of rugby has changed profoundly, from many countries in an amateur status to a professional model. However, the edition that has just begun in the land of long white cloud, earth history of the discipline, will not be remembered in terms of costs and economic benefits. New Zealand, a small country of 4.2 million inhabitants, has in fact not the same financial resources than previous organizers. Plunged into an economic crisis, it was also affected in February by an earthquake that devastated the city and the stage of Christchurch, the second largest city.What add to the bill related to the organization, and limit the financial benefits expected from the competition.

More limited carrying capacity

Estimates of the study Mastercard "Report on the economic impact of Rugby World: 2011 World Cup," the economic activity generated by the event is expected to reach $ 654 million (479 million), 18 % less than the 2007 edition in France. Main reason: the carrying capacity, especially in the stages are not the same. In New Zealand, the largest chamber (the Eden Park in Auckland) can accommodate 60,000 rugby fans. This figure drops to 40,000 for the second largest stadium. In total, only five of the twelve speakers in the competition beyond the 30,000 seats. In France in 2007, all exceeded the 32,000 seats.Enough to blow up the number of tickets sold in the Hexagon at 2.25 million, against 1.35 million sold in 2011 according to MasterCard. Next visitors, a double standard as well, since 95,000 fans are expected in the country of Blacks against more than 325,000 in 2007.

Overall, the economic impact of the sixth edition of Rugby World Cup in 2007 was estimated at 540 million euros, of which over 85% from the tourism (spending by spectators, lodging, drinks, souvenirs …). A record that does not beat New Zealand in terms of direct benefits. It remains to know the net financial gain from the competition.Those of this edition will not be known precisely until a few weeks, but we know already that they will be affected by 550 million euros spent on building or renovating stadiums, where France had limited its expenses (most stadiums were renovated for the World Cup soccer in 1998). The catastrophe of Christchurch should also weigh on the accounts. In 2007, net income of the competition had reached about 113 million euros, while New Zealand could lose money on this event.

The hearing will be at the rendezvous

The only consolation for the organizers of New Zealand against the semi-economic success: the increasing popularity of the rugby world should not be questioned. About 4 billion viewers (cumulative audience) should follow the matches of the competition.Almost as much as 4 years ago (4.2 billion according to URS Finance and Economics and the International Rugby Board). More than 220 million euros in marketing and TV rights for the event have been sold by the IRB, against only 190 million for the French edition of 2007. The fact is that New Zealand will not see the color of money, revenue from TV rights and advertising contracts falling directly into the pocket of the Board, to fund the global development of rugby.

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Unlike many leaders of the UMP, Bernard Accoyer does not support a convening of Congress on the golden rule if the vote is not granted.

LE FIGARO .- What impression do you get from the Summer of PS?

Bernard ACCOYER. – We saw a new battle of images and egos between the candidates in the primary. The PS seems to be a party curled up, in contrast to a world wide open. At La Rochelle, it was all in the posture of a facade of unity and there was nothing to find ideas to respond to the challenges of the moment. The PS stands still deal with the crisis.The implementation of its program for 2012, comparable to 1997 and even 1981, would have two consequences: swelling public spending and raise taxes, while France must control its spending and tax measures to adjust without affecting the household consumption or business competitiveness.

Among the subjects of contention between the majority and the opposition included the "golden rule". Do you support the convening of Congress?

It is a responsibility of the President of the Republic. It is major. French Parliament's vote on a commitment to fight against excessive deficits is a key decision. It is also a commitment of 17 countries in the euro area. We must measure the impact of the convening of Congress. I trust the president to decide or not.For my part, I hope of course that the golden rule is adopted, but I also measured the risks of this approach. Currently, all the conditions do not seem right for the look.

Namely, that you do not have three-fifths majority to pass it?

Indeed, I spoke with most opposition leaders. They spoke clearly. They are not committed to voting the golden rule in Congress. Pending the outcome of consultations with the Prime Minister, I note that the French Socialist Party is the only one in Europe to adopt this posture.

Should we still call the Congress?

The president said if the opposition decided not to join this initiative, decisive for the future of Europe, it would be one element of the debate for the next presidential campaign totally free credit score. There is no emergency.We have until the summer of 2012 to reform the Constitution. Until then, it happens a lot and the French will have to choose between courage and dangerous demagogy.

What would happen if the text was finally rejected in Congress?

The absence of a qualified majority in Congress, after a positive vote in both chambers, would be a first under the Fifth Republic. The risks of rejection are real in a very sensitive issue, so we know very well that national unity has a lot in the difficult times through Europe and the euro, and also through France.

Jean-Francois Cope continues to ask Borloo to surrender to appear in 2012. Do you think the president of the Radical Party will go anyway?

Borloo belonged to the government of François Fillon for nearly four years.It is in the majority, a personality that counts. He contributed greatly in the ministries which he was responsible. His place is obviously in the campaign alongside Nicolas Sarkozy, not a competitor.

You think he will return to the fold?

I hope with all my heart and, as an intelligent and responsible, I think.

What makes you optimistic for the re-election of Nicolas Sarkozy?

What matters are not the polls, which have often said the opposite of what came out of the polls. The important thing is what has been done and what the French can expect the next five years. The President has taken, in exceptional circumstances, the right decisions at the right time with courage. Nicolas Sarkozy, during his presidency of the European Union or the G20, led the way.It was also the strong man in particularly difficult crises: the economic crisis in 2008, the crisis in Georgia, the Libyan crisis. The French need in a dangerous time, a head of state determined, courageous and experienced.

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Despite the strong rebound on Wall Street Tuesday, Asian stock markets are unable to confirm their good performance yesterday morning. Including the Nikkei Stock Exchange Tokyo loose 1.07% to 8639.61 points, after opening up 0.78%.

Moody's has in fact degraded by one notch (to Aa3) Note the long-term debt of Japan due to the massive debt the country, aggravated by the earthquake of March 11. In the process, the U.S. rating agency also lowered the rating of a crazn debt of large Japanese banks (Mizuho Bank, Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ and Sumitomo Mitsui Banking).Mizuho lost 0.89% to 111 yen in Tokyo Stock Exchange, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial loose 3.21% to 331 yen and Sumitomo was down 1.67% to 2172 yen.

Tokyo takes steps against the high cost of yen

While the yen regained some ground against the euro (110.52 yen per euro) and was stable against the dollar (76.70 yen to the dollar), the Japanese government also announced a series of measures exceptional to help companies: including facilities will be granted to them by creating a special fund of 100 billion dollars taken on the foreign exchange reserves to encourage them to invest abroad guaranteed approval cash loans.

Despite this, the export value, including automobile manufacturers, continued to decline in stock: Honda lost 2.28% to 2,311 yen and Toyota gave up 2.02% to 2707 points.

Chinese financial markets, the Hang Seng lost 0.81% to 19.714.50 points while the CSI 300 gained 0.35% to 2830.83 points.

As for other Asian financial centers, the trend is also mixed: the Taiwan TAIEX was down 0.11% at 7541.80 points, the Kospi Index in Seoul lost 0.61% to 1765.78 points and the FTSE Straits Times of Singapore gives 0.48% to 2752.01 points. However, the BSE Sensex 30 Bombay is stable at 16,502.90 points and the S & P / ASX 200 advance 0.23% to 4182.80 points.

Oil prices rise

Oil prices were up Wednesday morning during electronic trading in Asia, with Brent who was close to 110 dollars a barrel because of uncertainty about the situation in Libya. In morning trading, a barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery gained 50 cents to 109.81 dollars. A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October was appreciating by 18 cents to 85.61 dollars.

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After a rebound during the session, Wall Street has finally caught up by letting the gloom hanging over global stock markets for two weeks at the close on Friday, the Dow Jones gives 1.57% to 10,818.48 points and the Nasdaq, dominated by technology loses 1.32 points 2341.86.

After opening in the red, the indices of New York had yet managed to climb briefly into the green. Before ending again in the red. Of all black this week, the Dow Jones lost 3.71% and the Nasdaq fell 6.53%.

This Friday, the NYSE has not been spared by the new storm that struck the European stock exchanges and which had already shaken the stock markets in Asia. Yesterday, as elsewhere, the New York Stock Exchange closed down a massive, affected by disappointing indicators released during the meeting confirming the poor performance of the U.S. economy.Moreover, operators, already worried by the economy of the euro area, were cooled by the large loan dollars awarded by the European Central Bank (ECB) to a bank in Europe, whose identity has not been revealed. This action has reinforced doubts about the ability of banks to refinance the region. The euro also declined against the dollar and is trading around 1.4290 dollars against 1.4319 on Thursday.

Finally, Morgan Stanley confirmed the fears of a global economic slowdown by scaling back its growth forecasts for 2011 and 2012. The bank also said the United States and Europe were "dangerously close to recession."

Evidence that the operators' confidence is at its lowest, gold, a safe haven par excellence, is powered from yesterday to new heights.On Friday, an ounce reached a new record in 1864 dollars after jumping up to 1867.30 dollars in the morning. For its part, a barrel of U.S. light crude oil, which fell 6% yesterday, still lost 12 cents Friday to 82.26 dollars a barrel. Over the whole week, he lost 3.12 dollars, or 3.65%, registering a fourth weekly loss in a row. Contracts on October Brent have lost them for their $ 1.63 to 108.62 dollars a barrel.

Values ​​of the day

On the corporate side, this session will be marked by a slump in Hewlett-Packard, which lost just over 20% to 23.60 dollars. The group published its results on Thursday lowered its annual forecast for the third consecutive time. It now expects an annual turnover of between 127.2 and 127.6 billion dollars, against a previous estimate of between 129 and 130 billion.The group, which has made a takeover offer for the British publisher of software Autonomy, has also announced plans to dispose of its business in personal computers. Another major surprise: HP goes out of business in the mobile, arresting the development of tablets and smartphones.

Bank of America (-1.14% to 6.93 dollars) will remove 3500 positions during the quarter, according to an internal document cited by Reuters.

Autodesk (-11.69% to 23.41 dollars) has reported a 6% increase in revenues in the second quarter and a net profit better than expected at 71.2 million euros, or 30 cents per share.

Gap (-8.61% to 10.67 dollars) on Thursday posted quarterly earnings above expectations of analysts, despite a decline in sales to a number of store.Net income for the group totaled $ 189 million (131.8 million), or 35 cents a share, against $ 234 million, or 36 cents per share a year earlier.

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On the night of Sunday to Monday, an agreement was reached between Republicans and Democrats to raise the U.S. debt ceiling. A favorable outcome that immediately reassured the markets: when Barack Obama announced the compromise to 2:45 Paris time, Asian stock markets – open to this hour – surged after learning that the failure to pay the United States was avoided. The Nikkei in Tokyo rose 1.7% immediately before finishing up 1.34%. Later, in Europe, major indices also showed the green, like the Cac 40 in Paris, which opened up 1.35%, and the ragagnant 3700 points, the Footsie Londoner, who took 1.07 % and the Dax in Frankfurt (+1.5%).

Safe haven, gold subside sees the outbreak of the course, which showed great concern on the part of investors.The yellow metal, which was still worth almost 1630 dollars per ounce on Friday, and is around 1615 dollars fell on Monday.

Immediate response as the currency market, the dollar has suddenly taken against major world currencies, particularly against the yen (the dollar rose from 77.3 to 78 yen per hour), just after the announcement.

Reassured the markets for a while

But around noon on Monday, the dollar back down a little already, one euro was trading against 1.4437 dollars (0.23%). Same against the Swiss franc, another safe haven, which goes back to full speed against the dollar and finds its historical levels of force, to 0.78 Swiss francs to the dollar.

Thus, if the news is welcome, the markets are not won by the euphoria. They are waiting because the confirmation of the plan by a vote, or some Republicans have expressed strong opposition to the agreement.Already on the European stock markets, the increases are bunched together in mid-day. And on Wall Street indices predicted a future increase in the Dow Jones 1.3%. Not enough to make up for the fall of 4.4% registered in the past week.

Markets are also wary because the details of the agreement remain unclear. In addition, the debt ceiling would require a new vote in early 2013, after the presidential elections. Now remains to be seen how the rating agencies will react to reductions in planned expenditure, less important than they hoped. However, they have warned: even if the United States are not lacking, this would not prevent the AAA rating of the country may be degraded.In this case, markets may again sink into depression.

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Greece occupies the minds of the rating agencies, but they do not forget Portugal. If the first could be lacking to believe Moody's or Standard & Poor's, the second concern. Moody's lowers in just four clicks of the note term. "The deterioration in the context of adversity reveals the crisis of sovereign debt and vulnerabilities of the Portuguese economy," says the Ministry of Finance in a communiqué.L rating agency is the first American to relegate Portugal in the class of investments "speculative," that is to say, risky. Standard & Poor's and Fitch placed the rating of Portugal "BBB-" or one notch to the category of "speculative" that Greece currently holds.

The euro increases its losses against the dollar

Moody's did not trust the program "ambitious" in the words of the new government which includes to reduce the country's deficit from 9.1% to 5.9% this year and 3% by 2013. This is why the country must make a saving "a little over two billion euros," said Pedro Passos Coelho had. In addition to the "restructuring of public enterprises," the privatization program will be accelerated with the sale by September of public participation in groups electricians EDP and REN on line pay day loans. "The Moody's decision ignores the effects of the tax on extraordinary income, regrets the Ministry of Finance.This measure shows the government's determination to ensure the deficit targets for this year. "

While Greece is to receive 12 billion euros of fresh money and could get a new rescue plan 110 billion, Moody's says there is a good chance that Portugal needs a new aid in addition to 78 billion decided last May. But for that, like Greece, the rating agency points out that private sector participation would be required for the EU to come to the aid of Portugal. "Portugal might not be able to borrow on capital markets at a tolerable level before the second half of 2013 or even later," said Moody's.

While the U.S. markets did not react to this announcement, the euro accentuated its losses against the dollar, yielding 0.81% to 1.4423 dollar.

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