As on Wall Street and Asian stock markets, doubt seized investors, who are now considering the worst: a contagion of debt in the eurozone. With the center of these concerns, the situation in Italy, including the implementation of austerity measures remains uncertain. The announcement yesterday of the upcoming departure of Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has in fact added to the uncertainty, as evidenced by soaring rates of the Italian Treasury ten years by 0.5 percentage points to 7.20%.

Unison concerns of investors, Brussels found the Italian debt situation "very worrying".Ditto for the International Monetary Fund: its director Christine Lagarde said today that "lack of political clarity" in Italy supplied the uncertainties, according to Reuters. Similarly, managers of U.S. Pimco, the largest bond manager in the world, estimated that "6% and 7% interest rate, the country will fail to stabilize its debt, which will become uncontrollable ".

To this distrust Rome, plus doubts about the ability to bounce back from Greece after the Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou announced his resignation Wednesday. It did not cite the name of his successor, who will not be released until Thursday.

Consequence of this climate morose, oil prices were down Thursday, though the announcement on the eve of an unexpected fall in U.S. oil stocks managed to halt the downward trend.

Until then, Bercy expected a GDP growth of 1.75% in 2012. But since the beginning of summer, the situation has deteriorated considerably. "For the sake of seriousness, we decided to lower our forecast to 1% next year," said Nicolas Sarkozy, who is aligned and the assumption by our German neighbor.And, near the line thickness, on the average forecast of economists (0.9%).

To keep the deficit targets despite this deterioration – and this is the top priority – must be found "6-8000000000" euros in savings or additional tax revenue next year, said Chief of the state.

Nicolas Sarkozy has asked Prime Minister Francois Fillon, with Valérie Pécresse (Budget) and Baroin (Economics), floor of the copy. And this new austerity program will be announced "in ten days," just after the G20 which takes place in Cannes.

What is certain is that "we must spend less on operating and investment to support growth (…).What we're announcing is not the rigor is the careful management ", insisted the president.

Without going into details of the options considered, the president said he did not intend to "increase the action" but "favor those that will strengthen the competitiveness" of the French economy. The executive knows that he can no longer take the risk of asphyxiating the remaining activity by a strict discipline, which would result in a tightening of the French.

No general increase in VAT

Why Nicolas Sarkozy has already categorically excluded "a general increase in VAT" which "would affect the purchasing power." "Francois Fillon did not propose, I have already spoken with him," he said.But calling for a tax harmonization with Germany, the president did not rule out the idea of ​​raising the reduced rate (set at 7% across the Rhine at home against 5.5%) or the introduction of an intermediate VAT rate (between 5.5% and 19.6%) for products now subject to a reduced rate (catering, building …)

It announces clearly no "social VAT" – renamed "VAT antidélocalisation" to the UMP – hypothesis was raised in the procession of the tracks in the study. He implicitly endorsed the idea but has returned to the next presidential debate "in a few months."

However, companies should be tapped. Address the tax differential between multinationals and SMEs is a carrier. It is almost assumed that the new austerity plan will include a surcharge of corporate tax targeted at large enterprises.And, probably in December.

The plan will also focus on public spending – including spending on health. "We will continue to find savings on expenditures that make all the difference (…). The operating costs should continue to be better managed, "said Valérie Pécresse in the wake. The budget minister was keen to point out that the government had already made 45 billion effort two years ago, "half in reducing tax loopholes, the rest in spending."

Some ministers argue for cuts in spending this time represent half the effort (instead of one billion end of August, against 11 additional samples). Cleaving an option vis-à-vis the Socialist Party. But six months of the presidential, that is precisely what the government seeks.

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Other Asian markets followed the upward trend in the Nikkei.The Hang Seng index of Hong Kong Stock Exchange rose 3.92% to 18,731.70 points, the CSI 300 Shanghai 0.66% to 2524.45 points, the Kospi index in Shanghai 2.86% to 1891 points, the BSE Sensex 30 in Mumbai 1.76% to 17,080.30 points the FTSE Straits Times of Singapore 1.95% to 2765.21 points and the S & P / ASX 200 Index 2.65% 4251.80 points Sydney.

Considering the situation "very complex", Nicolas Sarkozy has sought reassurance "negotiations progress on the issue of banks on the issue of Greece, things are progressing," he said. Selun President of the Republic, "a broad agreement is emerging on strengthening the EFSF." For its part, Angela Merkel added that the proposed model does not imply the ECB, as advocated by France.Clearly, the European bailout fund (EFSF) leverage its resources, but no new States' contribution of the euro, or use means unlimited in principle of the ECB. With leverage, the EFSF-today with $ 440 billion, and could see his strike force raised in 1000 or € 1500 billion.

The euro against the dollar stable

In addition, the euro area is considering creating a special fund that could be echoed by emerging countries to stem the debt crisis payday loans. China has expressed particular the possibility of financial support.Still, this idea is controversial, some states are reluctant to explicitly request the help of Beijing, according to diplomatic sources cited by AFP.

Until particularly critical of the slow pace until the EU to manage the crisis, the IMF, through its Executive Director Christine Lagarde, immediately praised the "very good progress" on Sunday. "It was really an effective meeting, and I hope it is really in the right direction for Wednesday," she insisted.

In addition, manufacturing activity in China rebounded in October after three successive months of contraction, according to preliminary PMI HSBC on Monday.The PMI purchasing managers calculated by the Bank rose to 51.1 in October, against 49.9 in September.

The hope of ending the crisis in Europe supports banking stocks

As a result of signals in the euro zone considered good, banking stocks rose. In Japan, Nomura Holdings gained 2.47% to 291 yen. While in Australia, Commonwealth Bank of Australia rose by 2.69% to 48.83 yen.

Also note that the Renault-Nissan hopes to sell 1.5 million electric cars in the world within five years, said Nissan (0.58% at 696 yen to the Tokyo Stock Exchange) on Monday in the part of a respect for the environment.

Oil prices were up in early trade Monday morning in Asia in electronic trading in the morning, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for December delivery gained 8 cents to 87.48 dollars on the New York Mercantile Exchange .Hand currency, the euro is stable against the dollar on Monday, the single currency displayed in the balance dollars 1.389 (-0.02%).

The unions believe that their company "wants to charge PNC" his "poor economic performance." They denounce downsizing that "degrade their working conditions." The strike affects all flights from Orly, Roissy and Marseille.

This was already burning the cloth between the management of Air France and its flight attendants. Seven unions had filed a notice of four days in late July, one of the busiest of the year. Finally, the threat was not carried out.

The hostesses and stewards who work on short flights and medium-haul are directly affected by the restructuring plans announced by Air France to regain ground in a market dominated by low-cost airlines payday advance lender. Air France seeks to improve its productivity by organizing more such flights by plane and rotation by offering volunteers a more intense pace of work. This time, a new rating system hostesses and stewards with their heads cabins, instead of "inspectors controllers" would have set fire to the powder.

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Today, all forty major French companies weighed on the stock exchange the equivalent of 794 billion euros. This figure may seem high to the uninitiated, but it is actually little more than the book value of assets of companies entering the CAC 40.The fall in prices has reached such proportions that the largest industrial groups in the rating on the stock exchange deal at the price of factories, stocks of goods or land on which are built warehouses or stores.

In Germany, the system operates at two levels. First level, all deposits are guaranteed by law up to 100,000 euros, as in France and in Europe parrout, in case of bankruptcy of a bank. This floor does not move then. What changes is the second level: it is the voluntary scheme set up by private banks. So far, they guarantee all deposits up to 30% stake in the troubled bank no faxing payday loan.Example, an investor putting his money into a small bank capitalized at 5 million the minimum guaranteed to see the money of 1.5 million.

By 2025 this will rise to 437,500 euros. "It's always much more than the legal minimum," pleads Mon officer of the association in Berlin. Not sure as long as this reform is very well received in the current tense situation. Knowing that, across the Rhine, and cooperative state banks maintain 100% protection on deposits.

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"I wish all the best at Societe Generale"

As individuals, concerned with the character "short-term approach" taken by the Exchange, turn their backs on stocks, Jean-Paul Herteman thinks otherwise and tries to reassure investors. "The stock market does not prevent us from conducting a long-term strategy," said he guaranteed online personal loans.Market volatility currently registered by the financial markets do not frighten him. "Safran worth three times less than today on the stock market three years ago, says the head of Safran. In such a short time, our fundamentals have not been processed yet so profound. It is sometimes said that the market is always right, but not every day. "

In a difficult environment for banking stocks that continue to be attacked on the stock market because of their exposure to Greece or Italy, Jean-Paul Herteman also address a small message for them. "I wish all the best at Societe Generale and the French banks," said he.

And just about banks, Natixis is that Safran replaced in the CAC 40 in early September, the index came in just a year ago and had lost more than 40% since April.

More limited carrying capacity

Estimates of the study Mastercard "Report on the economic impact of Rugby World: 2011 World Cup," the economic activity generated by the event is expected to reach $ 654 million (479 million), 18 % less than the 2007 edition in France. Main reason: the carrying capacity, especially in the stages are not the same. In New Zealand, the largest chamber (the Eden Park in Auckland) can accommodate 60,000 rugby fans. This figure drops to 40,000 for the second largest stadium. In total, only five of the twelve speakers in the competition beyond the 30,000 seats. In France in 2007, all exceeded the 32,000 seats.Enough to blow up the number of tickets sold in the Hexagon at 2.25 million, against 1.35 million sold in 2011 according to MasterCard. Next visitors, a double standard as well, since 95,000 fans are expected in the country of Blacks against more than 325,000 in 2007.

Overall, the economic impact of the sixth edition of Rugby World Cup in 2007 was estimated at 540 million euros, of which over 85% from the tourism (spending by spectators, lodging, drinks, souvenirs …). A record that does not beat New Zealand in terms of direct benefits. It remains to know the net financial gain from the competition.Those of this edition will not be known precisely until a few weeks, but we know already that they will be affected by 550 million euros spent on building or renovating stadiums, where France had limited its expenses (most stadiums were renovated for the World Cup soccer in 1998). The catastrophe of Christchurch should also weigh on the accounts. In 2007, net income of the competition had reached about 113 million euros, while New Zealand could lose money on this event.

The hearing will be at the rendezvous

The only consolation for the organizers of New Zealand against the semi-economic success: the increasing popularity of the rugby world should not be questioned. About 4 billion viewers (cumulative audience) should follow the matches of the competition.Almost as much as 4 years ago (4.2 billion according to URS Finance and Economics and the International Rugby Board). More than 220 million euros in marketing and TV rights for the event have been sold by the IRB, against only 190 million for the French edition of 2007. The fact is that New Zealand will not see the color of money, revenue from TV rights and advertising contracts falling directly into the pocket of the Board, to fund the global development of rugby.

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The Prancing Horse brand also provides for a new record this year by selling 7,000 cars, against 6,570 last year. Ferrari is also counting on a profit before tax "significant", following an increase of 23% in 2010 to 302 million euros. "I'm not worried because we have quality, exclusivity, a strong brand and innovative technology," said its president, Luca Cordero di Montezemolo.

It is the only one to be extremely confident.Rolls-Royce (BMW Group), whose boss, Torsten Mueller-Oetvoes, said he was "optimistic" about prospects for its niche, also wants to exceed its historical performance of last year (2711 cars). The luxury brand will invest 11.4 million euros to expand its plant in Goodwood English and plans to increase its network from 85 to 100 outlets.

Buyers richer

Sales of the major European luxury brands (Maserati, Lamborghini, Ferrari, Bentley, Rolls-Royce and Aston Martin) are expected to jump 19% this year to 28,100 vehicles, and increase by 13% in 2012, according to a study by IHS Automotive. "The rich are becoming richer, and the number of millionaires in emerging and growing. It is a very positive trend "for specialists in this niche, says Erich Hauser, an analyst at Credit Suisse agency quoted Bloomberg.For him, "should things go really bad" for the champions of this market find themselves in difficulty.

The ultra-premium segment should be able to pass through an economic downturn better than in the previous crisis, which saw sales of certain brands to collapse, says the CEO of Rolls-Royce. "This market has been growing steadily since its low point in 2009" but "we are aware that there are risks," acknowledges, however, Stephan Winkelmann, Lamborghini's boss. But for now, the Italian brand of the Volkswagen group does not seem to fear a decline in the purchasing power of its wealthy clients. It will produce 20 Sesto Elemento for early 2013. Their price: 1.6 million euro.