Egypt: why the revolt shakes markets - January 30, 2011
The shockwave of the Egyptian revolt shakes up Wall Street. The chaos seems to reign in the second economy in Africa is causing great uncertainty. Accordingly, investors are lying around.
• Scholarships Arab fall. Sunday, which is not a public holiday in Muslim countries of the Arabian Peninsula, financial markets are in the red. The Dubai Financial Market lost 4.32%, that of 2.95% over Qatar, Abu Dhabi 3.68% and 1.76% of Kuwait. Riyadh, which ended Saturday night in 6.43% drop, recovered some of its losses (2.47%).
"On Saturday, the fall of the stock market in Riyadh has erased all the gains since mid-October," says Paul Gamble, Jadwa Investment."The turmoil will not affect regional economic prospects or those of Saudi companies, but they have undermined confidence, particularly that of foreign investors." Investors in the Kingdom have also suffered: they hold $ 126 million market Egyptian.
• Fears over the Suez Canal are the flaming oil prices. Brent crude ended the day higher Friday, brushing the symbolic 100 dollars to 99 dollars. The markets are worried because Egypt, which produces little black gold, occupies a strategic position on the oil route between the Arabian Peninsula and the western countries. It controls the Suez Canal and the Suez-Mediterranean pipeline (Sumed). About three billion barrels pass through these two paths, according to analysts at Societe Generale.They deemed unlikely a paramilitary attack against these facilities instant payday loan lenders. They believe however that a strike could affect tanker traffic.
"The closure of the channel lengthen the 10-day tanker trip toward North America, and 18 days to Europe," said specialists from JP Morgan. Developed countries have sufficient reserves to cope with these setbacks. But put them to work would automatically lead to higher oil prices, they said.
JP Morgan analysts fear that in the longer term, "the troubles are spreading across the Middle East producing countries of North Africa, which would have great impact on the stock market and confidence," noted Analysts at JP Morgan.A sustained increase of 10% in oil prices may cut off the global growth of 0.25% over the quarter.
• Tanks Cairo pound the floor on Wall Street. On Friday, the index feature of American values, the S & P 500 experienced its sharpest decline since August. Concerns about rising interest rates in Europe have dragged down the market share in early trading. But analysts wrote JP Morgan, "the floor was frankly collapsed when the news came out of an escalating protest in Egypt." It was enough for investors to rush to sell. Movement "that sought for some time good excuse to go off," added the experts the U.S. institution.
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